Wisconsin3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Wisconsin 3rd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Derrick Van Orden. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Wisconsin 3rd District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Derrick Van Orden. Incumbent Representative Derrick Van Orden is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as tilt Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Wisconsin seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Wisconsin's 3rd District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.