Gwen Moore, 2026 Wisconsin 4th District House Democratic candidate
Gwen Moore*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-WI)
2005 – Present
Wisconsin state flag

Wisconsin4th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

TBD, 2026 Wisconsin 4th District House Republican candidate
Republicans
REPUBLICAN

2026 Wisconsin 4th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Wisconsin's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Gwen Moore and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Wisconsin 4th District House election features Democrat Gwen Moore and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Gwen Moore is seeking reelection to a twelfth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Wisconsin's 4th congressional district by 23.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
WI-4
Democratic candidate
Gwen Moore
Republican candidate
TBD
Incumbent / open seat
Gwen Moore
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
70.1% D / 30.0% R
Projected margin
D +40.1
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll