Andrew Beck
DEMOCRATIC
Product Developer
Wisconsin5th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Scott Fitzgerald*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-WI)
2021 – Present
2026 Wisconsin 5th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Wisconsin's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Andrew Beck and Republican Scott Fitzgerald. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Wisconsin 5th District House election features Democrat Andrew Beck and Republican Scott Fitzgerald. Incumbent Representative Scott Fitzgerald is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wisconsin's 5th congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- WI-5
- Democratic candidate
- Andrew Beck
- Republican candidate
- Scott Fitzgerald
- Incumbent / open seat
- Scott Fitzgerald
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 34.0% D / 66.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +32.0
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —