Wisconsin 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Wisconsin 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Wisconsin 5th District House forecast currently gives Republican Scott Fitzgerald a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Andrew Beck. Pollsmax projects Fitzgerald to receive 65.9% of the vote compared with 34.2% for Beck, a projected Republican margin of 31.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Wisconsin 5th District House election features Democrat Andrew Beck and Republican Scott Fitzgerald. Incumbent Representative Scott Fitzgerald is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wisconsin's 5th congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.