Wisconsin 62026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Wisconsin 6th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Wisconsin 6th District House forecast currently gives Republican Glenn Grothman a 98.3% chance of defeating Democrat Brad Smith. Pollsmax projects Grothman to receive 57.3% of the vote compared with 42.7% for Smith, a projected Republican margin of 14.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Wisconsin 6th District House election features Democrat Brad Smith and Republican Glenn Grothman. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wisconsin's 6th congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.