2026 GOVERNOR – FIRST ROUND POLLS2026 GOVERNOR POLLSFIRST ROUND
Bernadette Wilson
REPUBLICAN
Businesswoman
—
2026 ALASKA GOVERNOR POLLING AVERAGE — FIRST ROUND
Aggregate of all polls released for Alaska's Governor election among Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Republicans Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor. The polling average margin combines the three Republicans against the Democrat. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details. Alaska uses ranked-choice voting to decide elections, and this average compares support in the first round for all four candidates on the ballot.
Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
Alaska
Democratic candidate
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Republican candidate
Bernadette Wilson
Incumbent / open governorship
Open Governorship
Polling average
44.3% D / 49.5% R
Polling average margin
R +5.2
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 3, 2026
Polls included
5
Latest poll
Alaska Survey Research — October 3, 2026
Alaska Governor Polling Trend
Pollsmax Polling Average
2026 ALASKA GOVERNOR POLLING AVERAGE — FIRST ROUND
Three Republicans lead Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins by 5.2% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Alaska governor election, 49.5% to 44.3%. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is the sole Democrat, while the Republican share combines Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor. The average currently aggregates results from 5 polls. According to the latest Alaska governor poll, conducted by Alaska Survey Research on October 3, Kreiss-Tomkins leads with 48%, followed by Wilson at 27%, Bronson at 15%, and Taylor at 10%. Alaska uses ranked-choice voting to decide elections, and this average compares support in the first round for all four candidates on the ballot.
Join us on Election Time for our 2026 Election Night Megastream! We will cover every Senate and governor election, along with all major House races. Click here to get notified when we go live.
Latest Alaska Governor Polls
Pollster
Date
Sample
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Dave Bronson (R)
Treg Taylor (R)
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
45.5%
24.3%
15.3%
9.7%
R +2.9
Alaska Survey Research
October 3, 2026
1,512 LV
48%
27%
15%
10%
R +4.0
New York Times / Siena College
October 1, 2026
448 LV
46%
24%
17%
13%
R +8.0
Cygnal (R)
September 27, 2026
502 LV
44%
24%
8%
9%
D +3.0
co/efficient (R)
September 17, 2026
799 LV
43%
20%
17%
6%
Even
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
September 11, 2026
800 LV
40%
20%
14%
7%
R +1.0
About the Pollsmax Polling Average
Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.
