Arkansas 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST
2026 Arkansas Governor Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Arkansas' Governor election between Democrat Fredrick Love and Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Arkansas governor election features Democrat Fredrick Love and Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders. Incumbent governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders is seeking reelection to a second term, having served in the governor's mansion since 2023. In 2024, Donald Trump won Arkansas by 30.6%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Arkansas voters will decide whether to extend the incumbent party's control of the governor's mansion or move the state in a new direction.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Governor
- State
- Arkansas
- Democratic candidate
- Fredrick Love
- Republican candidate
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders
- Incumbent / open seat
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 36.4% D / 63.6% R
- Projected margin
- R +27.2
- Forecast odds
- 1.3% D / 98.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
No General Election Polls Yet