Colorado 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST
2026 Colorado Governor Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Colorado Governor forecast currently gives Democrat Phil Weiser a 97.8% chance of defeating Republican Victor Marx. Pollsmax projects Weiser to receive 60.4% of the vote compared with 39.6% for Marx, a projected Democratic margin of 20.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Colorado governor election features Democrat Phil Weiser and Republican Victor Marx. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Democrats. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Colorado by 11.0%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. The race will test whether Weiser can keep Colorado's recent Democratic streak intact or whether Marx can make Republicans more competitive in a state that has shifted left in federal and statewide elections. Colorado is expected to remain a Democratic hold on the 2026 governor map.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Governor
- State
- Colorado
- Democratic candidate
- Phil Weiser
- Republican candidate
- Victor Marx
- Incumbent / open governorship
- Open Governorship
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 60.4% D / 39.6% R
- Projected margin
- D +20.8
- Forecast odds
- 97.8% D / 2.2% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- 52.1% D / 38.5% R
- Polling average margin
- D +13.5
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 2, 2026
- Polls included
- 3
- Latest poll
- Research Co. — November 2, 2026
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