Connecticut 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Connecticut Governor Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Connecticut's Governor election between Democrat Ned Lamont and Republican Ryan Fazio. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 Connecticut governor election features Democrat Ned Lamont and Republican Ryan Fazio. Incumbent governor Ned Lamont is seeking reelection to a third term, having served in the governor's mansion since 2019. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Connecticut by 14.5%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Connecticut voters will decide whether to extend the incumbent party's control of the governor's mansion or move the state in a new direction.