Idaho 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Idaho Governor Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Idaho Governor forecast currently gives Republican Brad Little a 99% chance of defeating Democrat Terri Pickens. Pollsmax projects Little to receive 61.7% of the vote compared with 38.4% for Pickens, a projected Republican margin of 23.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Idaho governor election features Democrat Terri Pickens and Republican Brad Little. Incumbent Governor Brad Little is seeking reelection to a third term, having served in the governor's mansion since 2019. In 2024, Donald Trump won Idaho by a massive margin, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. The race will test whether Pickens can make any inroads in one of the most Republican states in the country or whether Little can keep Idaho safely in Republican hands. Idaho is expected to remain safely Republican on the 2026 governor map.