Idaho 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST
2026 Idaho Governor Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Idaho's Governor election between Democrat Terri Pickens and Republican Brad Little. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Idaho governor election features Democrat Terri Pickens and Republican Brad Little. Incumbent governor Brad Little is seeking reelection to a third term, having served in the governor's mansion since 2019. In 2024, Donald Trump won Idaho by 36.0%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Idaho voters will decide whether to extend the incumbent party's control of the governor's mansion or move the state in a new direction.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Governor
- State
- Idaho
- Democratic candidate
- Terri Pickens
- Republican candidate
- Brad Little
- Incumbent / open seat
- Brad Little
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 32.8% D / 67.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +34.5
- Forecast odds
- 0.4% D / 99.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
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