Massachusetts 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST
2026 Massachusetts Governor Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Massachusetts' Governor election between Democrat Maura Healey and Republican Mike Minogue. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Massachusetts governor election features Democrat Maura Healey and Republican Mike Minogue. Incumbent governor Maura Healey is seeking reelection to a second term, having served in the governor's mansion since 2023. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Massachusetts by 24.9%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Massachusetts voters will decide whether to extend the incumbent party's control of the governor's mansion or move the state in a new direction.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Governor
- State
- Massachusetts
- Democratic candidate
- Maura Healey
- Republican candidate
- Mike Minogue
- Incumbent / open seat
- Maura Healey
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 66.3% D / 33.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +32.5
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- 54.2% D / 31.1% R
- Polling average margin
- D +23.1
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polls included
- 7
- Latest poll
- University of New Hampshire — June 23, 2026