Massachusetts 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Massachusetts Governor Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Massachusetts Governor forecast currently gives Democrat Maura Healey a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Mike Minogue. Pollsmax projects Healey to receive 66% of the vote compared with 34.1% for Minogue, a projected Democratic margin of 31.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Massachusetts governor election features Democrat Maura Healey and Republican Mike Minogue. Incumbent governor Maura Healey is seeking reelection to a second term, having served in the governor's mansion since 2023. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Massachusetts by 24.9%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Massachusetts voters will decide whether to extend the incumbent party's control of the governor's mansion or move the state in a new direction.