Massachusetts 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Massachusetts Governor Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Massachusetts Governor forecast currently gives Democrat Maura Healey a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Mike Minogue. Pollsmax projects Healey to receive 63.6% of the vote compared with 36.4% for Minogue, a projected Democratic margin of 27.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Massachusetts governor election features Democrat Maura Healey and Republican Mike Minogue. Incumbent Governor Maura Healey is seeking reelection to a second term, having served in the governor's mansion since 2023. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Massachusetts by a landslide, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. The race will test whether Minogue can make any progress in one of the nation's most Democratic states or whether Healey can secure another comfortable victory. Massachusetts is expected to remain safely Democratic on the 2026 governor map.