Minnesota 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Minnesota Governor Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Minnesota Governor forecast currently gives Democrat Amy Klobuchar a 94.6% chance of defeating Republican Lisa Demuth. Pollsmax projects Klobuchar to receive 57.1% of the vote compared with 43% for Demuth, a projected Democratic margin of 14.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Minnesota governor election features Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Lisa Demuth. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Democrats. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Minnesota by 4.2%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Minnesota's mix of urban, suburban, and rural voters makes the statewide margin especially important in a competitive governor race.