Minnesota 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Minnesota Governor Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Minnesota Governor forecast currently gives Democrat Amy Klobuchar a 98.2% chance of defeating Republican Lisa Demuth. Pollsmax projects Klobuchar to receive 59.1% of the vote compared with 40.9% for Demuth, a projected Democratic margin of 18.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Minnesota governor election features Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Lisa Demuth. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Democrats. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Minnesota, and Democrats are favored to retain the state's governorship in 2026. The race will test whether Klobuchar can keep Minnesota's statewide Democratic streak alive or whether Demuth can make the state more competitive for Republicans. Minnesota remains a Democratic-leaning governor race, but it could become more important if the national environment shifts.