Amy Klobuchar
DEMOCRATIC
US Senate (D-MN)
2007 – Present
Minnesota 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST
Lisa Demuth
REPUBLICAN
Speaker, Minnesota House of Representatives (R)
2025 – Present
2026 Minnesota Governor Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Minnesota's Governor election between Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Lisa Demuth. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Minnesota governor election features Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Lisa Demuth. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Democrats. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Minnesota by 4.2%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Minnesota's mix of urban, suburban, and rural voters makes the statewide margin especially important in a competitive governor race.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Governor
- State
- Minnesota
- Democratic candidate
- Amy Klobuchar
- Republican candidate
- Lisa Demuth
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open Seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 58.8% D / 41.2% R
- Projected margin
- D +17.6
- Forecast odds
- 95.9% D / 4.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- 48.5% D / 39.7% R
- Polling average margin
- D +8.8
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polls included
- 3
- Latest poll
- Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy — June 10, 2026