New Mexico 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 New Mexico Governor Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for New Mexico's Governor election between Democrat Deb Haaland and Republican Gregg Hull. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 New Mexico governor election features Democrat Deb Haaland and Republican Gregg Hull. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Democrats. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Mexico by 6.0%, and Democrats are expected to retain the state's governorship in 2026. New Mexico has leaned Democratic in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can still draw national attention when control of the governorship is at stake.