New York 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 New York Governor Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for New York's Governor election between Democrat Kathy Hochul and Republican Bruce Blakeman. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 New York governor election features Democrat Kathy Hochul and Republican Bruce Blakeman. Incumbent governor Kathy Hochul is seeking reelection to a second term, having served in the governor's mansion since 2021. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New York by 12.4%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. New York voters will decide whether to extend the incumbent party's control of the governor's mansion or move the state in a new direction.