Oklahoma 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST
2026 Oklahoma Governor Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Oklahoma's Governor election between Democrat Cyndi Munson and Republican Mike Mazzei. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Oklahoma governor election features Democrat Cyndi Munson and Republican Mike Mazzei. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Oklahoma by 34.3%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Oklahoma has leaned Republican in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can become more competitive when both parties have well-known nominees and no incumbent on the ballot.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Governor
- State
- Oklahoma
- Democratic candidate
- Cyndi Munson
- Republican candidate
- Mike Mazzei
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open Seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 34.6% D / 65.4% R
- Projected margin
- R +30.8
- Forecast odds
- 1.5% D / 98.5% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
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