Rhode Island 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Rhode Island Governor Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Rhode Island Governor forecast currently gives Democrat Helena Foulkes a 98.3% chance of defeating independent Ken Block. Pollsmax projects Foulkes to receive 59.2% of the vote compared with 40.8% for Block, a projected Democratic margin of 18.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Rhode Island governor election features Democrat Helena Foulkes and independent Ken Block. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Democrats. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Rhode Island by 13.8%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. The race will test whether Foulkes can keep Rhode Island safely blue or whether Block can make the open-seat contest more competitive than the state's partisanship suggests. Rhode Island is expected to remain safely Democratic on the 2026 governor map.