Rhode Island 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Rhode Island Governor Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Rhode Island's Governor election between Democrat Helena Foulkes and Republican Aaron Guckian. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 Rhode Island governor election features Democrat Helena Foulkes and Republican Aaron Guckian. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Democrats. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Rhode Island by 13.8%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Rhode Island has leaned Democratic in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can still draw national attention when control of the governorship is at stake.