Democrats
Gabriel Green
DEMOCRATIC
Nonprofit Worker
Wyoming state flag

Wyoming 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

Republicans
Megan Degenfelder
REPUBLICAN
Superintendent, Wyoming Public Instruction
2023 – Present

2026 Wyoming Governor Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Wyoming's Governor election between Democrat Gabriel Green and Republican Megan Degenfelder. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 Wyoming governor election features Democrat Gabriel Green and Republican Megan Degenfelder. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wyoming by 45.4%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Wyoming has leaned Republican in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can become more competitive when both parties have well-known nominees and no incumbent on the ballot.

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
Wyoming
Democratic candidate
Gabriel Green
Republican candidate
Megan Degenfelder
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
33.9% D / 66.1% R
Projected margin
R +32.2
Forecast odds
1.0% D / 99.0% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026

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