Wyoming 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Wyoming Governor Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Wyoming Governor forecast currently gives Republican Eric Barlow a 99.1% chance of defeating Democrat Kenneth Casner. Pollsmax projects Barlow to receive 71% of the vote compared with 29.1% for Casner, a projected Republican margin of 41.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Wyoming governor election features Democrat Kenneth Casner and Republican Eric Barlow. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wyoming by 45.4%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. The race will test whether Casner can make any progress in the most Republican state in the country or whether Barlow can keep Wyoming safely in GOP hands. Wyoming is expected to remain safely Republican on the 2026 governor map.