Wyoming 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

2026 Wyoming Governor Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Wyoming Governor forecast currently gives Republican Eric Barlow a 99% chance of defeating Democrat Kenneth Casner. Pollsmax projects Barlow to receive 66% of the vote compared with 34% for Casner, a projected Republican margin of 32 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Wyoming governor election features Democrat Kenneth Casner and Republican Eric Barlow. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wyoming by 45.4%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's governorship in 2026. Wyoming has leaned Republican in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can become more competitive when both parties have well-known nominees and no incumbent on the ballot.