Alabama 2026 SENATE FORECAST

2026 Alabama Senate Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Alabama Senate forecast currently gives Republican Barry Moore a 97.3% chance of defeating Democrat Everett Wess. Pollsmax projects Moore to receive 60.6% of the vote compared with 39.4% for Wess, a projected Republican margin of 21.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Alabama Senate election features Democrat Everett Wess and Republican Barry Moore. The seat is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama by 30.5%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. Alabama has leaned Republican in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can become more competitive when both parties have well-known nominees and no incumbent on the ballot.