Alabama 2026 SENATE FORECAST

2026 Alabama Senate Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Alabama Senate forecast currently gives Republican Barry Moore a 98.6% chance of defeating Democrat Everett Wess. Pollsmax projects Moore to receive 59.9% of the vote compared with 40.1% for Wess, a projected Republican margin of 19.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Alabama Senate election features Democrat Everett Wess and Republican Barry Moore. The seat is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama by 30.5%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. The race will test whether Wess can make any inroads in one of the most Republican states in the country or whether Moore can keep Alabama safely in the GOP column. Alabama is not expected to be one of the cycle's top Senate battlegrounds, but the race remains part of the Republican path to preserving control of the US Senate.