Alabama 2026 SENATE FORECAST
2026 Alabama Senate Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Alabama's Senate election between Democrat Everett Wess and Republican Barry Moore. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Alabama Senate election features Democrat Everett Wess and Republican Barry Moore. The seat is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alabama by 30.5%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. Alabama has leaned Republican in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can become more competitive when both parties have well-known nominees and no incumbent on the ballot.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Senate
- State
- Alabama
- Democratic candidate
- Everett Wess
- Republican candidate
- Barry Moore
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open Seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 39.4% D / 60.6% R
- Projected margin
- R +21.2
- Forecast odds
- 2.7% D / 97.3% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
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