Mary Peltola, 2026 Alaska Senate Democratic candidate
Mary Peltola
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-AK)
2022 – 2025

2026 Alaska Senate Polls

Dan Sullivan, 2026 Alaska Senate Republican candidate
Dan Sullivan
REPUBLICAN
US Senate (R-AK)
2015 – Present

2026 Alaska Senate Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Alaska's Senate election between Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Dan Sullivan. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Alaska
Democratic candidate
Mary Peltola
Republican candidate
Dan Sullivan
Incumbent / open seat
Dan Sullivan
Polling average
46.9% D / 45.8% R
Polling average margin
D +1.2
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 10, 2026
Polls included
24
Latest poll
InsiderAdvantage (R) — October 10, 2026

Alaska Senate Polling Trend

2026 Alaska Senate Polling Average

Mary Peltola leads Dan Sullivan by 1.1% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Alaska Senate election, 46.9% to 45.8%. The average currently aggregates results from 24 polls. According to the latest Alaska Senate poll, conducted by InsiderAdvantage (R) on October 10, Peltola leads Sullivan 48% to 43%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

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Latest Alaska Senate Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Mary Peltola
Dan Sullivan*
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
46.9%
45.8%
D +1.2
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 10, 2026
1,200 LV
48%
43%
D +5.0
Alaska Survey Research
October 3, 2026
1,512 LV
47%
45%
D +2.0
Quantus Insights (R)
September 30, 2026
758 LV
46%
47%
R +0.3
New York Times / Siena College
September 30, 2026
504 LV
50%
43%
D +7.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
September 24, 2026
1,079 LV
46%
47%
R +1.0
co/efficient (R)
September 17, 2026
799 LV
46%
49%
R +3.0
Rasmussen Reports (R)
September 14, 2026
1,188 LV
39%
39%
Even
Alaska Survey Research
September 12, 2026
1,352 LV
52%
48%
D +3.8
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
September 11, 2026
800 LV
53%
47%
D +6.0
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
September 11, 2026
800 LV
46%
41%
D +5.0
Alaska Survey Research
August 23, 2026
1,495 LV
51%
49%
D +2.0
Alaska Survey Research
August 5, 2026
1,371 RV
51%
49%
D +1.6
Data for Progress (D)
August 4, 2026
567 LV
53%
47%
D +6.0
New York Times / Siena College
June 29, 2026
593 LV
45%
47%
R +2.0
Alaska Survey Research
June 7, 2026
1,393 LV
48%
44%
D +4.6
Alaska Survey Research
May 17, 2026
1,401 LV
48%
44%
D +4.0
Alaska Survey Research
April 19, 2026
1,946 LV
49%
43%
D +6.0
Alaska Survey Research
March 22, 2026
1,590 LV
49%
44%
D +5.0
Public Policy Polling (D)
January 17, 2026
611 V
49%
47%
D +2.0
Alaska Survey Research
January 11, 2026
1,988 LV
48%
46%
D +2.0
Data for Progress (D)
October 23, 2025
823 LV
46%
45%
D +1.0
Alaska Survey Research
October 15, 2025
1,708 LV
48%
46%
D +2.0
Alaska Survey Research
August 1, 2025
1,623 LV
42%
47%
R +5.0
Data for Progress (D)
July 27, 2025
678 LV
45%
46%
R +1.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.