Delaware 2026 SENATE FORECAST

2026 Delaware Senate Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Delaware Senate forecast currently gives Democrat Chris Coons a 98.7% chance of defeating Republican Michael Katz. Pollsmax projects Coons to receive 62% of the vote compared with 38.1% for Katz, a projected Democratic margin of 23.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Delaware Senate election features Democrat Chris Coons and Republican Michael Katz. Incumbent Senator Chris Coons is seeking reelection to a third full term, having served in the US Senate since 2010. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Delaware comfortably, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. The race will test whether Katz can make a long-shot push in a deep-blue state or whether Coons can secure another decisive victory. Delaware is expected to remain safely Democratic as the party works to defend its seats in the US Senate.