DEMOCRATIC
Kentucky House of Representatives (D)
2019 – 2021

Kentucky 2026 SENATE FORECAST

REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-KY)
2013 – Present

2026 Kentucky Senate Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Kentucky's Senate election between Democrat Charles Booker and Republican Andy Barr. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Kentucky
Democratic candidate
Charles Booker
Republican candidate
Andy Barr
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
39.4% D / 60.6% R
Projected margin
R +21.2
Forecast odds
2.7% D / 97.3% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on June 24, 2026
Polling average
38.0% D / 49.0% R
Polling average margin
R +11.0
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on June 24, 2026
Polls included
1
Latest poll
Public Policy Polling (D) — December 19, 2025