Louisiana 2026 SENATE FORECAST
2026 Louisiana Senate Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Louisiana's Senate election between Democrat Jamie Davis and Republican Julia Letlow. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 Louisiana Senate election features Democrat Jamie Davis and Republican Julia Letlow. The seat is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Louisiana by 22.0%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. Louisiana has leaned Republican in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can become more competitive when both parties have well-known nominees and no incumbent on the ballot.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Senate
- State
- Louisiana
- Democratic candidate
- Jamie Davis
- Republican candidate
- Julia Letlow
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open Seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 39.3% D / 60.7% R
- Projected margin
- R +21.4
- Forecast odds
- 2.5% D / 97.5% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
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