Mississippi 2026 SENATE FORECAST

2026 Mississippi Senate Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Mississippi's Senate election between Democrat Scott Colom and Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 Mississippi Senate election features Democrat Scott Colom and Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith. Incumbent senator Cindy Hyde-Smith is seeking reelection to a second term, having served in the US Senate since 2018. In 2024, Donald Trump won Mississippi by 22.9%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. The race will test whether the incumbent party can hold its existing Senate coalition as national conditions shift during the midterm cycle.