New Jersey 2026 SENATE FORECAST
2026 New Jersey Senate Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for New Jersey's Senate election between Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Justin Murphy. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 New Jersey Senate election features Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Justin Murphy. Incumbent senator Cory Booker is seeking reelection to a third term, having served in the US Senate since 2013. In 2024, Kamala Harris won New Jersey by 5.9%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. The race will test whether the incumbent party can hold its existing Senate coalition as national conditions shift during the midterm cycle.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Senate
- State
- New Jersey
- Democratic candidate
- Cory Booker
- Republican candidate
- Justin Murphy
- Incumbent / open seat
- Cory Booker
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 59.5% D / 40.5% R
- Projected margin
- D +19.0
- Forecast odds
- 97.1% D / 2.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
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