Rhode Island 2026 SENATE FORECAST

2026 Rhode Island Senate Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Rhode Island's Senate election between Democrat Jack Reed and Republican Raymond McKay. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 Rhode Island Senate election features Democrat Jack Reed and Republican Raymond McKay. Incumbent senator Jack Reed is seeking reelection to a sixth term, having served in the US Senate since 1997. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Rhode Island by 13.8%, and Democrats are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. The race will test whether the incumbent party can hold its existing Senate coalition as national conditions shift during the midterm cycle.