West Virginia 2026 SENATE FORECAST
2026 West Virginia Senate Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for West Virginia's Senate election between Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson and Republican Shelley Moore Capito. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.
The 2026 West Virginia Senate election features Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson and Republican Shelley Moore Capito. Incumbent senator Shelley Moore Capito is seeking reelection to a third term, having served in the US Senate since 2015. In 2024, Donald Trump won West Virginia by 41.9%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. The race will test whether the incumbent party can hold its existing Senate coalition as national conditions shift during the midterm cycle.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Senate
- State
- West Virginia
- Democratic candidate
- Rachel Fetty Anderson
- Republican candidate
- Shelley Moore Capito
- Incumbent / open seat
- Shelley Moore Capito
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 29.3% D / 70.8% R
- Projected margin
- R +41.5
- Forecast odds
- 0.3% D / 99.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
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