Wyoming 2026 SENATE FORECAST

2026 Wyoming Senate Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Wyoming Senate forecast currently gives Republican Harriet Hageman a 99.5% chance of defeating Democrat James Byrd. Pollsmax projects Hageman to receive 66.7% of the vote compared with 33.3% for Byrd, a projected Republican margin of 33.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Wyoming Senate election features Democrat James Byrd and Republican Harriet Hageman. The seat is open and is currently controlled by Republicans. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wyoming by 45.4%, and Republicans are expected to easily retain the state's Senate seat in 2026. Wyoming has leaned Republican in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can become more competitive when both parties have well-known nominees and no incumbent on the ballot.