Bill Hill, 2026 Alaska At-Large District House Democratic candidate
Bill Hill
INDEPENDENT

2026 Alaska At-Large District House Polls

Nick Begich III, 2026 House candidate
Nick Begich III*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-AK)
2025 – Present

2026 Alaska At-Large District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Alaska's at-large congressional district House election between independent Bill Hill and Republican Nick Begich III. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
AK-AL
Democratic candidate
Bill Hill
Republican candidate
Nick Begich III
Incumbent / open seat
Nick Begich III
Polling average
39.9% D / 50.6% R
Polling average margin
R +10.6
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 1, 2026
Polls included
10
Latest poll
New York Times / Siena College — October 1, 2026

Alaska At-Large District House Polling Trend

2026 Alaska at-large district House Polling Average

Nick Begich III leads Bill Hill by 10.7% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Alaska at-large district House election, 50.6% to 39.9%. The average currently aggregates results from 10 polls. According to the latest Alaska at-large district House poll, conducted by New York Times / Siena College on October 1, Begich leads Hill 47% to 35%.

Independent

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Alaska At-Large District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Nick Begich III
Bill Hill
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
50.6%
39.9%
R +10.6
New York Times / Siena College
October 1, 2026
504 LV
47%
35%
R +12.0
New York Times / Siena College
September 30, 2026
476 RV
53%
47%
R +6.0
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
September 11, 2026
800 LV
57%
43%
R +14.0
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
September 11, 2026
800 LV
45%
31%
R +14.0
The Bullfinch Group
September 6, 2026
—
50%
47%
R +3.0
Alaska Survey Research
August 5, 2026
1,371 LV
54%
47%
R +7.0
GBAO (D)
August 5, 2026
500 LV
46%
42%
R +4.0
Data for Progress (D)
August 4, 2026
567 LV
47%
37%
R +10.0
Tavern Research (D)
May 27, 2026
452 LV
52%
48%
R +4.0
Public Policy Polling (D)
February 12, 2026
600 LV
41%
37%
R +4.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.