Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
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AlaskaAt-Large District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Nick Begich III*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-AK)
2025 – Present
2026 Alaska At-Large District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Alaska's at-large congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Nick Begich III. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Alaska at-large District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Nick Begich III. Incumbent Representative Nick Begich III is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Alaska's at-large congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- AK-AL
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Nick Begich III
- Incumbent / open seat
- Nick Begich III
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 44.7% D / 55.4% R
- Projected margin
- R +10.7
- Forecast odds
- 10.7% D / 89.3% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
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- Polling last updated
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- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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