Jonathan Nez, 2026 House candidate
Jonathan Nez
DEMOCRATIC
President, Navajo Nation
2019 – 2023

2026 Arizona 2nd District House Polls

Eli Crane, 2026 House candidate
Eli Crane*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-AZ)
2023 – Present

2026 Arizona 2nd District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Arizona's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Jonathan Nez and Republican Eli Crane. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
AZ-2
Democratic candidate
Jonathan Nez
Republican candidate
Eli Crane
Incumbent / open seat
Eli Crane
Polling average
42.2% D / 48.7% R
Polling average margin
R +6.5
Last updated
12:00 AM on August 24, 2026
Polls included
3
Latest poll
GBAO (D) — August 24, 2026

Arizona 2nd District House Polling Trend

2026 Arizona 2nd district House Polling Average

Eli Crane leads Jonathan Nez by 6.5% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Arizona 2nd district House election, 48.7% to 42.2%. The average currently aggregates results from 3 polls. According to the latest Arizona 2nd district House poll, conducted by GBAO (D) on August 24, Crane leads Nez 46% to 44%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Arizona 2nd District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Eli Crane
Jonathan Nez
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
48.7%
42.2%
R +6.5
GBAO (D)
August 24, 2026
500 LV
46%
44%
R +2.0
Peak Insights (R)
August 20, 2026
400 LV
53%
42%
R +11.0
GBAO (D)
June 15, 2026
500 LV
44%
41%
R +3.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.