Matthew Dunlap, 2026 House candidate
Matthew Dunlap
DEMOCRATIC

2026 Maine 2nd District House Polls

Paul LePage, 2026 House candidate
Paul LePage
REPUBLICAN

2026 Maine 2nd District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Maine's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Matthew Dunlap and Republican Paul LePage. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
ME-2
Democratic candidate
Matthew Dunlap
Republican candidate
Paul LePage
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Polling average
46.1% D / 49.6% R
Polling average margin
R +3.5
Last updated
12:00 AM on September 21, 2026
Polls included
7
Latest poll
University of New Hampshire — September 21, 2026

Maine 2nd District House Polling Trend

2026 Maine 2nd district House Polling Average

Paul LePage leads Matthew Dunlap by 3.5% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Maine 2nd district House election, 49.6% to 46.1%. The average currently aggregates results from 7 polls. According to the latest Maine 2nd district House poll, conducted by University of New Hampshire on September 21, Dunlap leads LePage 51% to 45%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Maine 2nd District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Paul LePage
Matthew Dunlap
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
49.6%
46.1%
R +3.5
University of New Hampshire
September 21, 2026
622 LV
45%
51%
D +6.0
Impact Research (D)
September 12, 2026
500 LV
49%
49%
Even
DCCC (D)
August 13, 2026
621 LV
49%
48%
R +1.0
Tulchin Research (D)
July 16, 2026
600 LV
48%
49%
D +1.0
co/efficient (R)
April 28, 2026
918 LV
50%
40%
R +10.0
University of New Hampshire
February 16, 2026
521 LV
47%
46%
R +1.0
Mellman Group (D)
June 10, 2025
400 LV
47%
37%
R +10.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.