Jake Johnson, 2026 Minnesota 1st District House Democratic candidate
Jake Johnson
DEMOCRATIC
Teacher
Minnesota state flag

2026 Minnesota 1st District House Polls

Brad Finstad, 2026 Minnesota 1st District House Republican candidate
Brad Finstad*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MN)
2022 – Present

2026 Minnesota 1st District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Minnesota's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Jake Johnson and Republican Brad Finstad. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
MN-1
Democratic candidate
Jake Johnson
Republican candidate
Brad Finstad
Incumbent / open seat
Brad Finstad
Polling average
44.5% D / 46.4% R
Polling average margin
R +1.9
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 9, 2026
Polls included
4
Latest poll
SurveyUSA (D) — October 9, 2026

Minnesota 1st District House Polling Trend

2026 Minnesota 1st House Polling Average

Brad Finstad leads Jake Johnson by 1.9% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Minnesota 1st district House election, 46.4% to 44.5%. The average currently aggregates results from 4 polls. According to the latest Minnesota 1st district House poll, conducted by SurveyUSA (D) on October 9, Johnson leads Finstad 46% to 44%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

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Latest Minnesota 1st District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Brad Finstad
Jake Johnson
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
46.4%
44.5%
R +1.9
SurveyUSA (D)
October 9, 2026
565 LV
44%
46%
D +2.0
GBAO (D)
September 21, 2026
500 LV
46%
47%
D +1.0
Ragnar Research Partners (R)
March 14, 2026
400 LV
52%
42%
R +10.0
Public Policy Polling (D)
February 3, 2026
708 RV
44%
41%
R +3.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.