Sam Forstag, 2026 House candidate
Sam Forstag
DEMOCRATIC
Smokejumper and Union Leader

Montana 12026 HOUSE POLLS

Aaron Flint, 2026 House candidate
Aaron Flint
REPUBLICAN
Radio Host

2026 Montana 1st District House Polls:

Aggregate of all polls released for Montana's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
MT-1
Democratic candidate
Sam Forstag
Republican candidate
Aaron Flint
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Polling average
43.7% D / 45.3% R
Polling average margin
R +1.7
Last updated
12:00 AM on July 9, 2026
Polls included
2
Latest poll
Impact Research (D) — June 25, 2026

Democrat

%

Weighted polling average

Republican

%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

Polling average difference

Polls Included

Number of polls conducted

Pollster
Date
Sample
Aaron Flint
Sam Forstag
Margin
Polling Average
48.0%
43.0%
R +5.0
Impact Research (D)
June 25, 2026
500 LV
44%
44%
Even
Upswing Research (D)
May 5, 2026
401 LV
48%
43%
R +5.0