Sam Forstag, 2026 House candidate
Sam Forstag
DEMOCRATIC
Smokejumper and Union Leader

2026 Montana 1st District House Polls

Aaron Flint, 2026 House candidate
Aaron Flint
REPUBLICAN
Radio Host

2026 Montana 1st District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Montana's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
MT-1
Democratic candidate
Sam Forstag
Republican candidate
Aaron Flint
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Polling average
45.7% D / 45.7% R
Polling average margin
R +0.1
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 23, 2026
Polls included
10
Latest poll
RedBox Research — October 23, 2026

Montana 1st District House Polling Trend

2026 Montana 1st House Polling Average

Sam Forstag and Aaron Flint are tied in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Montana 1st district House election, both at 45.7%. The average currently aggregates results from 10 polls. According to the latest Montana 1st district House poll, conducted by RedBox Research on October 23, Flint leads Forstag 48% to 46%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Montana 1st District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Aaron Flint
Sam Forstag
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
45.7%
45.7%
R +0.1
RedBox Research
October 23, 2026
754 LV
48%
46%
R +2.0
Montana State University Billings
October 21, 2026
—
32%
49%
D +17.0
Emerson College
October 14, 2026
329 LV
46%
50%
D +4.0
Public Policy Polling (D)
October 14, 2026
541 LV
45%
48%
D +3.0
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)
September 24, 2026
314 LV
46%
45%
R +0.5
Impact Research (D)
September 23, 2026
500 LV
44%
47%
D +3.0
Public Policy Polling (D)
September 10, 2026
536 RV
43%
45%
D +2.0
Rutgers University
September 7, 2026
375 RV
42%
41%
R +1.0
Impact Research (D)
June 25, 2026
500 LV
44%
44%
Even
Upswing Research (D)
May 5, 2026
401 LV
48%
43%
R +5.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.