Brian Miller, 2026 House candidate
Brian Miller
DEMOCRATIC

2026 Montana 2nd District House Polls

Troy Downing, 2026 House candidate
Troy Downing*
REPUBLICAN

2026 Montana 2nd District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Montana's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Brian Miller and Republican Troy Downing. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
MT-2
Democratic candidate
Brian Miller
Republican candidate
Troy Downing
Incumbent / open seat
Troy Downing
Polling average
18.2% D / 37.8% R
Polling average margin
R +19.6
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 21, 2026
Polls included
2
Latest poll
Montana State University Billings — October 21, 2026

Montana 2nd District House Polling Trend

2026 Montana 2nd House Polling Average

Troy Downing leads Brian Miller by 19.6% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Montana 2nd district House election, 37.8% to 18.2%. The average currently aggregates results from 2 polls. According to the latest Montana 2nd district House poll, conducted by Montana State University Billings on October 21, Downing leads Miller 29% to 18%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Montana 2nd District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Troy Downing
Brian Miller
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
37.8%
18.2%
R +19.6
Montana State University Billings
October 21, 2026
—
29%
18%
R +11.0
Rutgers University
September 7, 2026
470 RV
48%
26%
R +22.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.