Montana 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Montana 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Montana 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Troy Downing a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Brian Miller. Pollsmax projects Downing to receive 65% of the vote compared with 35% for Miller, a projected Republican margin of 30 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Montana 2nd District House election features Democrat Brian Miller and Republican Troy Downing. Incumbent Representative Troy Downing is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Montana's 2nd congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.