Raymond Smith Jr, 2026 House candidate
Raymond Smith Jr
DEMOCRATIC

2026 North Carolina 3rd District House Polls

Greg Murphy, 2026 House candidate
Greg Murphy*
REPUBLICAN

2026 North Carolina 3rd District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for North Carolina's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Raymond Smith Jr and Republican Greg Murphy. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
NC-3
Democratic candidate
Raymond Smith Jr
Republican candidate
Greg Murphy
Incumbent / open seat
Greg Murphy
Polling average
39.0% D / 46.0% R
Polling average margin
R +7.0
Last updated
12:00 AM on August 2, 2026
Polls included
1
Latest poll
Tulchin Research (D) — August 2, 2026

North Carolina 3rd District House Polling Trend

2026 North Carolina 3rd district House Polling Average

Greg Murphy leads Raymond Smith Jr by 7.0% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 North Carolina 3rd district House election, 46.0% to 39.0%. The average currently aggregates results from 1 poll. According to the latest North Carolina 3rd district House poll, conducted by Tulchin Research (D) on August 2, Murphy leads Smith 44% to 41%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest North Carolina 3rd District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Greg Murphy
Raymond Smith Jr
Margin
Tulchin Research (D)
August 2, 2026
600 LV
44%
41%
R +3.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.