Nikki Gronli, 2026 House candidate
Nikki Gronli
DEMOCRATIC

2026 South Dakota At-Large District House Polls

Marty Jackley, 2026 House candidate
Marty Jackley
REPUBLICAN

2026 South Dakota At-Large District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for South Dakota's at-large congressional district House election between Democrat Nikki Gronli and Republican Marty Jackley. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
SD-AL
Democratic candidate
Nikki Gronli
Republican candidate
Marty Jackley
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Polling average
35.4% D / 55.9% R
Polling average margin
R +20.5
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 14, 2026
Polls included
2
Latest poll
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy — October 14, 2026

South Dakota At-Large District House Polling Trend

2026 South Dakota at-large House Polling Average

Marty Jackley leads Nikki Gronli by 20.5% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 South Dakota at-large district House election, 55.9% to 35.4%. The average currently aggregates results from 2 polls. According to the latest South Dakota at-large district House poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy on October 14, Jackley leads Gronli 60% to 32%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest South Dakota At-Large District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Marty Jackley
Nikki Gronli
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
55.9%
35.4%
R +20.5
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
October 14, 2026
500 LV
60%
32%
R +28.0
Lake Research Partners (D)
August 30, 2026
500 LV
47%
43%
R +4.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.