Tom Perriello, 2026 Virginia 5th District House Democratic candidate
Tom Perriello
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-VA)
2009 – 2011
Virginia state flag

2026 Virginia 5th District House Polls

John McGuire, 2026 Virginia 5th District House Republican candidate
John McGuire*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-VA)
2025 – Present

2026 Virginia 5th District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Virginia's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Tom Perriello and Republican John McGuire. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
VA-5
Democratic candidate
Tom Perriello
Republican candidate
John McGuire
Incumbent / open seat
John McGuire
Polling average
42.0% D / 49.0% R
Polling average margin
R +7.0
Last updated
12:00 AM on August 1, 2026
Polls included
1
Latest poll
Expedition Strategies (D) — August 1, 2026

Virginia 5th District House Polling Trend

2026 Virginia 5th district House Polling Average

John McGuire leads Tom Perriello by 7.0% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Virginia 5th district House election, 49.0% to 42.0%. The average currently aggregates results from 1 poll. According to the latest Virginia 5th district House poll, conducted by Expedition Strategies (D) on August 1, McGuire leads Perriello 47% to 44%.

Democrat

%

Weighted polling average

Republican

%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

Polling average difference

Polls Included

Number of polls conducted

Latest Virginia 5th District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
John McGuire
Tom Perriello
Margin
Expedition Strategies (D)
August 1, 2026
602 LV
47%
44%
R +3.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.