Carmela Conroy, 2026 Washington 5th District House Democratic candidate
Carmela Conroy
DEMOCRATIC
Washington state flag

2026 Washington 5th District House Polls

Michael Baumgartner, 2026 Washington 5th District House Republican candidate
Michael Baumgartner*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-WA)
2025 – Present

2026 Washington 5th District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Washington's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Carmela Conroy and Republican Michael Baumgartner. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
WA-5
Democratic candidate
Carmela Conroy
Republican candidate
Michael Baumgartner
Incumbent / open seat
Michael Baumgartner
Polling average
45.0% D / 55.0% R
Polling average margin
R +10.0
Last updated
12:00 AM on May 25, 2026
Polls included
1
Latest poll
Tavern Research (D) — May 25, 2026

Washington 5th District House Polling Trend

2026 Washington 5th district House Polling Average

Michael Baumgartner leads Carmela Conroy by 10.0% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Washington 5th district House election, 55.0% to 45.0%. The average currently aggregates results from 1 poll. According to the latest Washington 5th district House poll, conducted by Tavern Research (D) on May 25, Baumgartner leads Conroy 53% to 47%.

Democrat

%

Weighted polling average

Republican

%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

Polling average difference

Polls Included

Number of polls conducted

Latest Washington 5th District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Michael Baumgartner
Carmela Conroy
Margin
Tavern Research (D)
May 25, 2026
578 LV
53%
47%
R +6.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.