Cinde Warmington, 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic candidate
Cinde Warmington
DEMOCRATIC
New Hampshire Executive Council (D)
2021 – 2025

2026 New Hampshire Governor Polls

Kelly Ayotte, 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican candidate
Kelly Ayotte*
REPUBLICAN
Governor (R-NH)
2025 – Present

2026 New Hampshire Governor Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for New Hampshire's Governor election between Democrat Cinde Warmington and Republican Kelly Ayotte. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
New Hampshire
Democratic candidate
Cinde Warmington
Republican candidate
Kelly Ayotte
Incumbent / open seat
Kelly Ayotte
Polling average
40.5% D / 50.3% R
Polling average margin
R +9.8
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 5, 2026
Polls included
11
Latest poll
YouGov — October 5, 2026

New Hampshire Governor Polling Trend

2026 New Hampshire governor Polling Average

Kelly Ayotte leads Cinde Warmington by 9.8% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 New Hampshire governor election, 50.3% to 40.5%. The average currently aggregates results from 11 polls. According to the latest New Hampshire governor poll, conducted by YouGov on October 5, Ayotte leads Warmington 49% to 40%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest New Hampshire Governor Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Kelly Ayotte*
Cinde Warmington
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
50.3%
40.5%
R +9.8
YouGov
October 5, 2026
1,520 LV
49%
40%
R +9.0
Saint Anselm College
September 29, 2026
1,042 LV
52%
45%
R +7.0
New York Times / Siena College
September 22, 2026
619 LV
52%
41%
R +11.0
University of New Hampshire
September 21, 2026
1,418 LV
47%
43%
R +4.0
co/efficient (R)
September 11, 2026
958 LV
55%
34%
R +21.0
University of New Hampshire
August 24, 2026
2,143 LV
49%
39%
R +10.0
Saint Anselm College
August 18, 2026
1,411 LV
49%
38%
R +11.0
Saint Anselm College
June 25, 2026
1,614 RV
45%
37%
R +8.0
University of New Hampshire
June 23, 2026
2,232 LV
44%
39%
R +5.0
University of New Hampshire
April 21, 2026
1,117 LV
47%
39%
R +8.0
Saint Anselm College
March 18, 2026
1,491 RV
46%
39%
R +7.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.