Dan Ahlers, 2026 South Dakota Governor Democratic candidate
Dan Ahlers
DEMOCRATIC
South Dakota State Senate (D)
2008 – 2010
South Dakota state flag

2026 South Dakota Governor Polls

Larry Rhoden, 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican candidate
Larry Rhoden*
REPUBLICAN
South Dakota Governor (R)
2025 – Present

2026 South Dakota Governor Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for South Dakota's Governor election between Democrat Dan Ahlers and Republican Larry Rhoden. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
South Dakota
Democratic candidate
Dan Ahlers
Republican candidate
Larry Rhoden
Incumbent / open governorship
Larry Rhoden
Polling average
36.8% D / 53.5% R
Polling average margin
R +16.7
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 14, 2026
Polls included
2
Latest poll
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy — October 14, 2026

South Dakota Governor Polling Trend

2026 South Dakota governor Polling Average

Larry Rhoden leads Dan Ahlers by 16.7% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 South Dakota governor election, 53.5% to 36.8%. The average currently aggregates results from 2 polls. According to the latest South Dakota governor poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy on October 14, Rhoden leads Ahlers 56% to 36%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest South Dakota Governor Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Larry Rhoden*
Dan Ahlers
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
53.5%
36.8%
R +16.7
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
October 14, 2026
500 LV
56%
36%
R +20.0
Concord Public Opinion Partners (D)
October 8, 2026
400 LV
48%
38%
R +10.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.