Gina Hinojosa, 2026 Texas Governor Democratic candidate
Gina Hinojosa
DEMOCRATIC
Texas House of Representatives (D-TX)
2017 – Present

2026 Texas Governor Polls

Greg Abbott, 2026 Texas Governor Republican candidate
Greg Abbott*
REPUBLICAN
Governor (R-TX)
2015 – Present

2026 Texas Governor Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Texas' Governor election between Democrat Gina Hinojosa and Republican Greg Abbott. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Governor
State
Texas
Democratic candidate
Gina Hinojosa
Republican candidate
Greg Abbott
Incumbent / open seat
Greg Abbott
Polling average
44.8% D / 49.2% R
Polling average margin
R +4.4
Last updated
12:00 AM on October 5, 2026
Polls included
43
Latest poll
YouGov — October 5, 2026

Texas Governor Polling Trend

2026 Texas governor Polling Average

Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa by 4.4% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Texas governor election, 49.2% to 44.8%. The average currently aggregates results from 43 polls. According to the latest Texas governor poll, conducted by YouGov on October 5, Hinojosa leads Abbott 48% to 47%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Texas Governor Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Greg Abbott*
Gina Hinojosa
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
49.2%
44.8%
R +4.4
YouGov
October 5, 2026
3,625 LV
47%
48%
D +1.0
New York Times / Siena College
September 30, 2026
615 LV
45%
51%
D +6.0
Fox News / Beacon Research
September 28, 2026
881 LV
52%
47%
R +5.0
Guidant Polling and Strategy (R)
September 28, 2026
800 LV
46%
44%
R +2.0
University of Massachusetts Lowell / YouGov
September 28, 2026
850 LV
48%
44%
R +4.0
Big Data Poll (R)
September 26, 2026
698 LV
49%
44%
R +4.5
Stratus Intelligence (R)
September 24, 2026
865 LV
50%
46%
R +4.0
Slingshot Strategies (D)
September 22, 2026
1,007 LV
50%
46%
R +4.0
Marist University
September 20, 2026
1,139 RV
49%
46%
R +3.0
Texas Southern University
September 19, 2026
1,800 LV
49%
45%
R +4.0
Emerson College
September 14, 2026
1,000 LV
49%
46%
R +3.2
SoCal Strategies (R)
September 13, 2026
649 LV
52%
44%
R +8.0
Siena College / ReconMR
September 11, 2026
614 LV
45%
49%
D +4.0
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
September 10, 2026
625 LV
48%
41%
R +7.0
YouGov
September 4, 2026
1,000 RV
47%
47%
Even
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
September 1, 2026
895 LV
49%
46%
R +3.0
Overton Insights
August 26, 2026
1,167 LV
51%
49%
R +2.0
Slingshot Strategies (D)
August 24, 2026
1,000 LV
49%
42%
R +7.0
University of Texas / YouGov
August 13, 2026
1,200 RV
45%
40%
R +5.0
Emerson College
August 10, 2026
1,000 LV
49%
45%
R +3.5
GBAO (D)
August 9, 2026
1,000 LV
49%
48%
R +1.0
Cygnal (R)
July 31, 2026
800 LV
49%
46%
R +3.0
Wedgewood Polls
July 31, 2026
800 LV
50%
44%
R +6.0
Siena College / Texas A&M University
July 30, 2026
619 LV
46%
45%
R +1.0
Texas Southern University
July 30, 2026
1,200 RV
49%
43%
R +6.0
Fox News / Beacon Research
July 27, 2026
1,006 RV
50%
49%
R +1.0
Slingshot Strategies (D)
July 17, 2026
1,048 LV
45%
42%
R +3.0
New York Times / Siena College
June 27, 2026
656 LV
51%
44%
R +7.0
SoCal Strategies (R)
June 21, 2026
800 LV
54%
42%
R +11.7
University of Texas / YouGov
June 12, 2026
1,200 RV
47%
40%
R +7.0
Quantus Insights (R)
June 4, 2026
800 LV
49%
41%
R +8.0
Siena College / Texas A&M University
June 4, 2026
807 LV
49%
44%
R +5.0
Texas A&M University / ReconMR
June 4, 2026
807 LV
49%
43%
R +6.0
Texas Public Opinion Research
May 28, 2026
1,670 LV
46%
41%
R +5.0
Public Policy Polling (D)
May 23, 2026
643 RV
48%
44%
R +4.0
Texas Southern University / YouGov
May 5, 2026
1,223 LV
49%
43%
R +6.0
Slingshot Strategies (D)
April 20, 2026
1,018 LV
48%
43%
R +5.0
University of Texas / Texas Politics Project
April 19, 2026
1,200 RV
44%
38%
R +6.0
Univeristy of Texas at Tyler
February 22, 2026
1,117 RV
49%
41%
R +8.0
University of Texas / Texas Politics Project
February 16, 2026
1,300 RV
45%
35%
R +10.0
GBAO (D)
February 3, 2026
1,000 LV
46%
43%
R +3.0
University of Houston / YouGov
January 31, 2026
1,502 LV
49%
42%
R +7.0
Emerson College
January 12, 2026
1,165 RV
50%
42%
R +8.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.