Hallie Shoffner, 2026 Arkansas Senate Democratic candidate
Hallie Shoffner
DEMOCRATIC
Farmer

2026 Arkansas Senate Polls

Tom Cotton, 2026 Arkansas Senate Republican candidate
Tom Cotton
REPUBLICAN
US Senate (R-AR)
2015 – Present

2026 Arkansas Senate Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Arkansas' Senate election between Democrat Hallie Shoffner and Republican Tom Cotton. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Arkansas
Democratic candidate
Hallie Shoffner
Republican candidate
Tom Cotton
Incumbent / open seat
Tom Cotton
Polling average
38.3% D / 49.3% R
Polling average margin
R +11.0
Last updated
12:00 AM on August 18, 2026
Polls included
3
Latest poll
J.L. Partners (R) — August 18, 2026

Arkansas Senate Polling Trend

2026 Arkansas Senate Polling Average

Tom Cotton leads Hallie Shoffner by 11.0% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Arkansas Senate election, 49.3% to 38.3%. The average currently aggregates results from 3 polls. According to the latest Arkansas Senate poll, conducted by J.L. Partners (R) on August 18, Cotton leads Shoffner 51% to 35%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Arkansas Senate Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Tom Cotton*
Hallie Shoffner
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
49.3%
38.3%
R +11.0
J.L. Partners (R)
August 18, 2026
803 LV
51%
35%
R +15.8
2040 Strategy Group (D)
July 25, 2026
586 LV
46%
43%
R +3.0
GrayHouse (R)
February 9, 2026
550 LV
58%
36%
R +22.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.