Democrat
—%
Weighted polling average
Hallie Shoffner
DEMOCRATIC
Farmer
Arkansas 2026 SENATE POLLS
Tom Cotton
REPUBLICAN
US Senate (R-AR)
2015 – Present
2026 Arkansas Senate Polls:
Aggregate of all polls released for Arkansas' Senate election between Democrat Hallie Shoffner and Republican Tom Cotton. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Senate
- State
- Arkansas
- Democratic candidate
- Hallie Shoffner
- Republican candidate
- Tom Cotton
- Incumbent / open seat
- Tom Cotton
- Polling average
- 40.1% D / 50.3% R
- Polling average margin
- R +10.2
- Last updated
- 12:00 AM on August 10, 2026
- Polls included
- 2
- Latest poll
- 2040 Strategy Group (D) — July 25, 2026
Republican
—%
Weighted polling average
Net margin
—
Polling average difference
Polls Included
—
Number of polls conducted
Pollster
Date
Sample
Tom Cotton*
Hallie Shoffner
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
50.3%
40.1%
2040 Strategy Group (D)
July 25, 2026
586 LV
46%
43%
GrayHouse (R)
February 9, 2026
550 LV
58%
36%