Democrat
—%
Weighted polling average
Alexander Vindman
DEMOCRATIC
Lieutenant Colonel, US Army
1999 – 2020
Florida 2026 SENATE POLLS
Ashley Moody
REPUBLICAN
US Senate (R-FL)
2025 – Present
2026 Florida Senate Polls:
Aggregate of all polls released for Florida's Senate election between Democrat Alexander Vindman and Republican Ashley Moody. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- Senate
- State
- Florida
- Democratic candidate
- Alexander Vindman
- Republican candidate
- Ashley Moody
- Incumbent / open seat
- Ashley Moody
- Polling average
- 40.6% D / 47.6% R
- Polling average margin
- R +7.0
- Last updated
- 12:00 AM on August 16, 2026
- Polls included
- 12
- Latest poll
- University of North Florida — July 17, 2026
Republican
—%
Weighted polling average
Net margin
—
Polling average difference
Polls Included
—
Number of polls conducted
Pollster
Date
Sample
Ashley Moody*
Alexander Vindman
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
47.6%
40.6%
University of North Florida
July 17, 2026
848 LV
50%
40%
Change Research (D)
July 11, 2026
1,348 LV
45%
38%
Change Research (D)
June 14, 2026
1,015 LV
46%
46%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
June 7, 2026
800 LV
47%
40%
Global Strategy Group (D)
May 21, 2026
1,000 LV
46%
43%
Cherry Communications (R)
May 9, 2026
604 LV
48%
40%
Stetson University
April 13, 2026
848 LV
49%
42%
Public Policy Polling (D)
April 3, 2026
574 RV
43%
40%
MDW Communications (D)
April 3, 2026
1,834 LV
43%
42%
Emerson College
March 31, 2026
1,125 LV
46%
38%
University of North Florida
March 2, 2026
786 LV
45%
38%
Echelon Insights (R)
April 9, 2026
406 LV
50%
43%