Peggy Flanagan, 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic candidate
Peggy Flanagan
DEMOCRATIC
Minnesota Lieutenant Governor (D)
2019 – Present

2026 Minnesota Senate Polls

Michele Tafoya, 2026 Minnesota Senate Republican candidate
Michele Tafoya
REPUBLICAN
Journalist

2026 Minnesota Senate Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Minnesota's Senate election between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Minnesota
Democratic candidate
Peggy Flanagan
Republican candidate
Michele Tafoya
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Polling average
46.8% D / 41.9% R
Polling average margin
D +4.9
Last updated
12:00 AM on September 15, 2026
Polls included
9
Latest poll
co/efficient (R) — September 15, 2026

Minnesota Senate Polling Trend

2026 Minnesota Senate Polling Average

Peggy Flanagan leads Michele Tafoya by 4.9% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Minnesota Senate election, 46.8% to 41.9%. The average currently aggregates results from 9 polls. According to the latest Minnesota Senate poll, conducted by co/efficient (R) on September 15, Flanagan leads Tafoya 43% to 42%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Minnesota Senate Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Peggy Flanagan
Michele Tafoya
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
46.8%
41.9%
D +4.9
co/efficient (R)
September 15, 2026
833 LV
43%
42%
D +1.0
SurveyUSA (D)
September 14, 2026
654 LV
42%
42%
Even
Quantus Insights (R)
September 10, 2026
720 LV
49%
45%
D +3.5
TIPP Insights (R)
September 2, 2026
1,201 LV
44%
42%
D +2.1
Deep Root Analytics (R)
August 18, 2026
597 RV
50%
45%
D +5.0
TIPP Insights (R) / SurveyUSA (D)
August 17, 2026
661 LV
46%
41%
D +5.0
Impact Research (D)
May 28, 2026
808 LV
51%
44%
D +7.0
Emerson College
February 8, 2026
1,000 LV
47%
41%
D +6.0
Impact Research (D)
July 11, 2025
604 LV
48%
45%
D +3.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.