Peggy Flanagan, 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic candidate
Peggy Flanagan
DEMOCRATIC
Minnesota Lieutenant Governor (D)
2019 – Present

2026 Minnesota Senate Polls

Michele Tafoya, 2026 Minnesota Senate Republican candidate
Michele Tafoya
REPUBLICAN
Journalist

2026 Minnesota Senate Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Minnesota's Senate election between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Minnesota
Democratic candidate
Peggy Flanagan
Republican candidate
Michele Tafoya
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Polling average
48.0% D / 43.5% R
Polling average margin
D +4.5
Last updated
12:00 AM on November 1, 2026
Polls included
24
Latest poll
Survey 160 — November 1, 2026

Minnesota Senate Polling Trend

2026 Minnesota Senate Polling Average

Peggy Flanagan leads Michele Tafoya by 4.5% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Minnesota Senate election, 48.0% to 43.5%. The average currently aggregates results from 24 polls. According to the latest Minnesota Senate poll, conducted by Survey 160 on November 1, Flanagan leads Tafoya 52% to 43%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Minnesota Senate Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Peggy Flanagan
Michele Tafoya
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
48.0%
43.5%
D +4.5
Research Co.
November 1, 2026
450 LV
48%
43%
D +5.0
Survey 160
November 1, 2026
1,365 LV
52%
43%
D +9.0
InsiderAdvantage (R)
October 30, 2026
1,200 LV
49%
46%
D +3.0
KSTP / SurveyUSA (D)
October 28, 2026
714 LV
48%
41%
D +7.0
New York Times / Siena College
October 26, 2026
752 LV
54%
40%
D +14.0
Victory Insights (R)
October 22, 2026
1,194 LV
48%
44%
D +4.0
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 21, 2026
1,182 LV
48%
45%
D +3.0
Trafalgar Group (R)
October 15, 2026
1,079 LV
48%
45%
D +3.0
KSTP / SurveyUSA (D)
October 12, 2026
718 LV
45%
42%
D +3.0
Morning Consult
October 7, 2026
1,000 RV
45%
41%
D +4.0
Rasmussen Reports (R)
October 7, 2026
856 LV
48%
45%
D +3.0
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
October 7, 2026
800 LV
47%
43%
D +4.0
GQR (D)
October 4, 2026
800 LV
50%
42%
D +8.0
Big Data Poll (R)
September 30, 2026
297 LV
46%
44%
D +2.2
InsiderAdvantage (R)
September 29, 2026
1,200 LV
46%
45%
D +1.0
co/efficient (R)
September 15, 2026
833 LV
43%
42%
D +1.0
SurveyUSA (D)
September 14, 2026
654 LV
42%
42%
Even
Quantus Insights (R)
September 10, 2026
720 LV
49%
45%
D +3.5
TIPP Insights (R)
September 2, 2026
1,201 LV
44%
42%
D +2.1
Deep Root Analytics (R)
August 18, 2026
597 RV
50%
45%
D +5.0
TIPP Insights (R) / SurveyUSA (D)
August 17, 2026
661 LV
46%
41%
D +5.0
Impact Research (D)
May 28, 2026
808 LV
51%
44%
D +7.0
Emerson College
February 8, 2026
1,000 LV
47%
41%
D +6.0
Impact Research (D)
July 11, 2025
604 LV
48%
45%
D +3.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.