Seth Bodnar, 2026 Montana Senate Democratic candidate
Seth Bodnar
INDEPENDENT
President, University of Montana
2018 – 2026

2026 Montana Senate Polls

Kurt Alme, 2026 Montana Senate Republican candidate
Kurt Alme
REPUBLICAN
US Attorney, District of Montana (R)
2025 – 2026

2026 Montana Senate Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Montana's Senate election between independent Seth Bodnar and Republican Kurt Alme. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Montana
Independent candidate
Seth Bodnar
Republican candidate
Kurt Alme
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Polling average
27.9% I / 42.3% R
Polling average margin
R +14.5
Last updated
12:00 AM on September 15, 2026
Polls included
12
Latest poll
Aspect Strategic — September 15, 2026

Montana Senate Polling Trend

2026 Montana Senate Polling Average

Kurt Alme leads Seth Bodnar by 14.4% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Montana Senate election, 42.3% to 27.9%. The average currently aggregates results from 12 polls. According to the latest Montana Senate poll, conducted by Aspect Strategic on September 15, Alme leads Bodnar 44% to 32%.

Democrat

—%

Weighted polling average

Republican

—%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

—

Polling average difference

Polls Included

—

Number of polls conducted

Latest Montana Senate Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Kurt Alme
Seth Bodnar
Margin
Polling Average
—
—
42.3%
27.9%
R +14.5
Quantus Insights (R)
September 15, 2026
625 LV
44%
24%
R +19.3
Aspect Strategic
September 15, 2026
715 LV
44%
32%
R +12.0
Rutgers University
September 7, 2026
845 LV
38%
30%
R +8.0
Peak Insights (R)
August 25, 2026
600 LV
44%
22%
R +22.0
Hart Research (D)
August 4, 2026
800 LV
45%
30%
R +15.0
GQR (D)
July 26, 2026
500 LV
41%
27%
R +14.0
Tavern Research (D)
July 20, 2026
517 LV
49%
27%
R +22.0
The Bullfinch Group
July 16, 2026
546 LV
36%
24%
R +12.0
Grayhouse (R)
June 24, 2026
500 LV
41%
17%
R +24.0
Tavern Research (D)
June 19, 2026
400 LV
49%
24%
R +25.0
Hart Research (D)
June 18, 2026
800 LV
47%
25%
R +22.0
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
June 11, 2026
500 LV
44%
20%
R +24.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.