Seth Bodnar, 2026 Montana Senate Democratic candidate
Seth Bodnar
INDEPENDENT
President, University of Montana
2018 – 2026

Montana 2026 SENATE POLLS

Kurt Alme, 2026 Montana Senate Republican candidate
Kurt Alme
REPUBLICAN
US Attorney, District of Montana (R)
2025 – 2026

2026 Montana Senate Polls:

Aggregate of all polls released for Montana's Senate election between independent Seth Bodnar and Republican Kurt Alme. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Montana
Independent candidate
Seth Bodnar
Republican candidate
Kurt Alme
Incumbent / open seat
Open Seat
Polling average
26.9% I / 43.3% R
Polling average margin
R +16.5
Last updated
12:00 AM on August 13, 2026
Polls included
7
Latest poll
Hart Research (D) — August 4, 2026

Democrat

%

Weighted polling average

Republican

%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

Polling average difference

Polls Included

Number of polls conducted

Pollster
Date
Sample
Kurt Alme
Seth Bodnar
Margin
Polling Average
43.3%
26.9%
R +16.5
Hart Research (D)
August 4, 2026
800 LV
45%
30%
R +15.0
GQR (D)
July 26, 2026
500 LV
41%
27%
R +14.0
Tavern Research (D)
July 20, 2026
517 LV
49%
27%
R +22.0
The Bullfinch Group
July 16, 2026
546 LV
36%
24%
R +12.0
Grayhouse (R)
June 24, 2026
500 LV
41%
17%
R +24.0
Tavern Research (D)
June 19, 2026
400 LV
49%
24%
R +25.0
Hart Research (D)
June 18, 2026
800 LV
47%
25%
R +22.0