Maine 2026 GOVERNOR FORECAST

Robert Charles

REPUBLICAN

US Assistant Secretary of State

2003 – 2005

2026 Maine Governor Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Maine's Governor election between Democrat Hannah Pingree and Republican Robert Charles. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share.

The 2026 Maine governor election features Democrat Hannah Pingree and Republican Robert Charles. The governorship is open and is currently controlled by Democrats. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maine by 6.8%, and Democrats are expected to retain the state's governorship in 2026. Maine has leaned Democratic in recent statewide elections, but open-seat races can still draw national attention when control of the governorship is at stake.

Year: 2026
Race: Governor
State: Maine
Democratic candidate: Hannah Pingree
Republican candidate: Robert Charles
Incumbent / open seat: Open Seat
Forecast rating: Likely D
Projected vote: 55.3% D / 44.8% R
Projected margin: D +10.5
Forecast odds: 85.5% D / 14.5% R
Forecast last updated: 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average: 53.0% D / 42.0% R
Polling average margin: D +11.0
Polling last updated: 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polls included: 1
Latest poll: Fox News / Beacon Research — June 27, 2026

No General Election Polls Yet